Wednesday, 25 April 2012

The 1970s

Has anyone else been marvelling at the first two in a BBC 2 series on the 1970s? Perhaps it can’t hold a candle to Radio 2’s Sounds of the Sixties but it still makes good television. Times were hard but there was much to be thankful for.

There was a comment yesterday that people look back on the regulated 1970s with rose tinted specs or even perhaps rosé tinted glasses : ) But taking those specs off, what was it *really* like on the buses? The answer is “difficult”—but the industry got through.

Patronage was slipping and by the end of the decade, this was in free-fall. The government recognised the worsening position at the end of the 1960s, offering first rural and then, from 1972, network grants. The idea of network support had begun. The National Bus Company was formed on 1st January 1969 and it had one fatal flaw: it and its subsidiaries had to break even, year on year. There was no such requirement on the municipal operators or the new PTEs, yet the NBC’s operating territories were often less lucrative.
What resulted was that profitable services were progressively assaulted. Passengers on profitable routes were increasingly charged more in fares than they needed to be, to prop up those making a loss. No matter the operating area—with the exception of South Yorkshire PTE, perhaps—fares tended to increase faster than inflation and with some regularity. Operators felt that fares increases were preferential to mileage withdrawals and job cuts… in spite of PTEs often leading the charge to eliminate conductors and in spite of some significant staff shortages, as drivers found better wages and conditions in local manufacturing.

In time, profitable routes would often additionally be subject to mileage withdrawals because managements felt that it was easier for passengers on frequent services to bear the pain than those on infrequent ones. The toxic combination of fares far higher than they needed to be on these routes plus withdrawals led to a self-defeating exercise as, eventually, declining passengers numbers moved good routes from profit to break even to loss.
But management often felt that they had limited if any options. Certainly one-man operation (as it then was) helped reduce the cost base but this had but a short-term impact. By the late 1970s, NBC through Midland Red, an operator scarred by the passing of good routes to WMPTE, had invented the idea of viable networks, to translate to the ubiquitous Market Analysis Projects that even transposed themselves to some municipals. Stability at last? Only for a couple of years. Those late on the MAP treadmill could manage only a year or so without further, deeper cutbacks.

What’s changed in 40 years later?

Still the same pressures of fuel and wages; and, currently, flat growth. Plus new pressures from free travel and BSOG. But there are some differences. The successors to the territorial operators tend no longer to carry such a huge peak vehicle imbalance. In the 1970s, there was often a skewed peak requirement well above that needed between the peaks. There are now fewer works specials but a significant amount of the spiked peak for school traffic’s passed to smaller operators who run bespoke services. Where this has happened, the costs have transferred to others.

And, most marked, operators have discovered how to market their services. Marketing was taken for granted in the 1970s. It just wasn’t part of the mix. OK, it’s wrong to generalise, but there remained the attitude that the passenger slide was inevitable and there was nothing you could do about it. All this changed with the minibus revolution and the industry’s got progressively better and cleverer at it ever since.

Then there’s also the realisation that some markets simply aren’t worth exploiting. In the cold reality of a commercial world, it took some operators a few years to ditch the territorial mentality but, again progressively, they’ve withdrawn marginal mileage to concentrate the managerial effort on those services where growth potential exists. Even though we would probably all agree that some fares are higher than we would like, they’d be higher still had they to prop up poorer services 1970s style.

So, when you turn on BBC 2 and begin to reminisce about those cheesy novelty records, glam rock, flares, kipper ties, the Austin Allegro, Trimfones and Corona, remember, too, that the bus industry managed to navigate itself through choppy waters.

22 comments:

Anonymous said...

'twas I that made that comment. You've conveyed exactly what I meant and more. You've also done it far more eloquently.

It's easy to yearn for the days of our youth. However, when I visit my home town, I see Solos of various firms operating clockface timetables on rural and interurban Compared to the multitude of route deviations and obscure frequencies operated by spartan Bristol LHs, it's unrecognisable.

Mind you, I still yearn for those days as an enthusiast. Just not as a businessman nor consumer.

Anonymous said...

My area and others now get more buses than back in the 1970's. we also have a simply day and week tickets. 1985 give the bus network a major kick up the back side.

Problem is trying to convince more people to travel to work crack that and let the money roll in.

Anonymous said...

And not a single comment about Carol Hersee never finishing that game of noughts and crosses.

Neil said...

"1985 give the bus network a major kick up the back side."

I'm sure it did. But I can't help but think we'd have been better delivering that in a more co-ordinated way. More like London, if you will.

Neil

Anonymous said...

Kick in the teeth is what it got.

And as for the game, in buses as well as on the telly, the clown won.

Anonymous said...

Bus services were far better in the 1970's than they are now. In many areas the bus services have been decimated.

We have also seen big declines in usage of buses since the 1970's/ The true figure is masked by the Concessionary travel scemes

Neil said...

"We have also seen big declines in usage of buses since the 1970's"

That we have, but however much I might be pro-regulation I don't think that's the main cause.

The main cause is the increasing affordability of the car. Yes, fuel is getting expensive, but in real terms not so badly.

There was also the "Thatcher attitude" of the 1980s that didn't help. Of course, other countries like Germany that have good regulated public transport systems and good usage didn't have that. London of course did, but London is so congested that the car is a bad choice of mode to start with anyway.

Neil

Anonymous said...

I just paid £3.20 for a bus journey of less than two miles - feel utterly ripped off.

Neil said...

That is expensive. In Milton Keynes a journey of that length just went up to £2. Far more reasonable.

Anonymous said...

Anonymous said...
"Bus services were far better in the 1970's than they are now. In many areas the bus services have been decimated."

Rubbish. Perhaps in areas were there is little demand but anywhere there is a reasonable market to be tapped has, in my experience, seen a vast improvement in the offering. My local service in the 70s was hourly, with old high-floor AEC Reliances. Today it is half-hourly with modern low-floor deckers and runs earlier in the morning and later into the evening. There's three times the buses on a Sunday and they start before lunchtime. That's a better service all round, whichever way you look at it - and it's not unusual.

I don't buy the argument that buses should run here there and everywhere carrying fresh air in areas of little demand and at vast expense, buses are a means of *mass transit*, and if no or few people use a service, why should a bus company run it or why should taxpayers fund it?

The key is marketing, pure and simple. Once you have covered your costs, every single additional passenger carried is profit, go after those, get them onboard and you've cracked it as Anon 10:15 yesterday rightly points out.

Neil said...

"There's three times the buses on a Sunday and they start before lunchtime."

Not wishing to detract from your original point, but that's due to a change in demand. Even as late as the late 1990s Sunday was not a proper shopping day, it was a stay at home with your family day. Even more so in the 1970s.

Neil

Anonymous said...

Sundays used to have a decent level of service back in the 1970s after Midday.

back then many people where going to church or visiting friends or going out, and taking the bus.

Biggest problems with the 1970s/1980s was it was based on the USA model, If only Barbara Castle went to EU instead of the USA, we might have ended up with European model.

Again busy routes should not be used to prop up poor routes, half the time there never sorted out the issues in the first place.

Rural route/school bus/peak works is different kettle of fish.

Council and Bus companies should have been trying to sort out why poor routes were so poor instead of pouring money down the drain, So much waste and lack of mis- oppertuines

plcd1 said...

@ anon 1056 - well it all depends on your view as to what public transport is about. Is it about providing a business opportunity for bus companies to make loads of money or is it about providing mobility to people who cannot or do not wish to own their own private transport?

If you subscribe to the former position then, of course, the current system outside of London is all wonderful. If it is the latter then you are in difficulty over a wide part of the country. London, as ever, is a key exception plus some other places.

However you only need to look at timetable books from the 70s and today to see that there is less network coverage in vast parts of the country. You may be dismissive of providing rural or interurban routes or early morning, evening and Sunday routes but people still need to make those journeys but are deprived of choice.

I am not disagreeing that there are some areas where there are new vehicles and regular frequencies. There may even be some Sunday and evening buses but it is not a comprehensive level of service that provides equivalent mobility to that now enjoyed by car owners.

We need to have a clear position from each political party as to what it wants the public transport system to achieve, at what fares level and what level of taxpayer support. You may well be right that the public are happy with commercial routes and a sparse level of "social" bus routes but I would want them to vote for their preferred option. We can all then live with the consequences.

Ironic though that the Tory head of Cumbria County Council is now saying the government's policy of funding cuts has gone too far after Stagecoach dumped a number of services in West Cumbria. Even he recognises that there are limits to how much you can deprive voters of mobility.

David said...

It depends what you compare and how you compare it.

In Newcastle the network is broadly similar to how it was in the 70s and 80s. There's been streamlining and changes of numbers, especially after the Metro, but the main routes operate broadly the same way at broadly the same frequency. Yes, E400s have replaced Atlanteans and Fleetlines, but that would have happened regardless of who owned the bus companies.

In West Yorkshire routes have disappeared- a lot of routes have disappeared. Gone are direct buses from Bradford to Ilkley or Halifax to Keighley. Gone are nightbuses. Gone are winter rural services.

In County Durham the situation is even worse again. Good luck if you want to get anywhere in rural County Durham- even the Durham Coalfield around Peterlee- after about 7pm. The services have gone because Arriva has thrown their toys out of the pram.

As I see it, being vehemently anti-privatisation, my fares no longer subsidise marginal or loss-making routes. Fine. Except instead they subsidise £1bn shareholder dividend payments and Brian Souter's homophobic ranting and raving.

Neil said...

"@ anon 1056 - well it all depends on your view as to what public transport is about. Is it about providing a business opportunity for bus companies to make loads of money or is it about providing mobility to people who cannot or do not wish to own their own private transport?"

Or is it a combination of the second option and attracting people *away from* their own transport for environmental and anti-congestion reasons?

I must admit the private companies, particularly those using the likes of Best Impressions, are getting rather good at that.

But in some cases you can't polish a turd, and it'd be better that a competent service was operated with all the buses in all-over white with "X Council" written on them in Arial than that it looks flash.

As for the profit angle, had we not deregulated completely I'm certain we'd have gone tendered as most other Council services have.

Neil

plcd1 said...

@ David. Tyne and Wear provides an interesting example. Yes some of the key corridors are served broadly as they always were. Routes like the 1, 12, 39, 40 and 62/3 follow broadly the same corridors and have reasonable service levels that compare to the 80s and 90s. However loads of services have gone - 2, 33, 34/5, 64/5, 41, 47/8, 49 plus many of the Busways minibus routes. The trunk routes have absorbed outer ends of routes that previously had separate numbers and frequencies indicating a reduction in network capacity.

Northumberland still has broadly the same level of service on key Newcastle - Blyth / Newbiggin / Ashington corridors. However the parallel stopping routes have been hacked to bits as have routes like the old 346/7/355/356/357/358. Oddly the Coast Rd seems to have kept its services intact including up to Blyth. Some other corridors are a bit better like Hexham - Newcastle plus things like the 74 and 684. Town services and deeper rural routes have gone and what's left isn't terribly good despite Northumberland being good tourism territory.

Go Ahead have reduced their local routes in Gateshead to concentrate on key corridors. Obviously the Metrocentre has exerted a huge influence on routes and there have been some good improvements on the core network. However I am surprised that parts of Gateshead are now dependent on taxi buses with pitiful frequencies. Similar issues exist in North and South Tyneside.

County Durham has been hit hard and I don't quite understand why the Council has such limited ambitions about public transport support. However I don't understand what the local politics are.

It's a mixed picture but my view of the North East is you're OK if on a key trunk route but things are far worse if you're in a more marginal location.

RW said...

David said ". Except instead they subsidise £1bn shareholder dividend payments and Brian Souter's homophobic ranting and raving."
1.5p of every £1 in fares goes to shareholders, the majority of whom are ordinary folks who have put their savings into a pension, insurance or bank account. We own our bus companies much more directly than when they were state owned.
Shareholders put more money into buses than the treasury ever would.
If buses were sill state owned you would only find them in museums and big cities.

Steve said...

I'm not a fan of privatisation or deregulation. However I've had a look at a Western National timetable from the mid 70s and to my surprise in West Cornwall services are generally much better now than they were then.

Places served, and late evening and Sunday services are all improved. I'm really surprised!

Anonymous said...

THe mahjor problem is bus companies treat bus services as individual routes whilst users see them as a network and require a network. With any network some parts will be busier than others and some will be marginal or make a loss but they feed in passengers to the busier routes and also provide an essential service

Big savings can also be made by treating an area as a network rather than a collection of individual routes

If Bus companies seriously want to attract customers they have to considerably raise therir game, something they have failed to do to date.

At present they slap themselves on the back claiming they are doing well but this is almost entireely down to the Free Concessionary travel. Stripthat out and you see just how badly the bus companies are performing

David said...

@ RW:

If buses were sill state owned you would only find them in museums and big cities.

I can't even begin to start explaining how completely and utterly wrong you are on this.

Example one: Edinburgh. Lothian Buses are expanding frequencies with a modern and dynamic fleet. First are cutting frequencies and have a fleet which is barely roadworthy. Which of the two is "state owned".

Example two: County Durham and north North Yorkshire. Arriva have largely pulled out of rural and semi-rural routes in most of the county, including services to Barnard Castle, Richmond, Leyburn Northallerton and Peterlee. They've even binned the majority of their Durham City routes. The council have had to take up the slack with their own buses.

Example three: Tyne and Wear. Stagecoach, Arriva and Go have pullled out of the rural areas of the county. Nexus have had to step in with their own buses, branded and contracted out to other operators. These services are using more modern vehicles than the previous commercial operators.

As you were saying, we wouldn't have any bus services left if it wasn't for those plucky Bus Bandits.

David said...

@ plcd1

It depends how you look at it for many of the routes. Some of the weird and wonderful route variations have gone, but in many ways that makes a network more stable and more user-friendly, e.g. rationalising the 60/1/2/3/4/5 into the 62 and 63 makes a lot of sense as the route variations were often by one or two blocks. In the Outer West the loss of the 49, 80 and 81 has more than been made up by the introduction of the 6 and extension of the 39 (indeed, the 39 would have gone further but the residents of Dumpling Hall didn't want it to).

I deliberately didn't include the Busways/Blue Bus minibus services as they weren't there in the 70s.

Gateshead is a funny one. Within the main urban part of the town the routes are still pretty good, some of the estates have lost minibus services but that's been about it. The changes in services have really been felt in rural Gateshead, especially around High Spen and Ryton, but perhaps a bus service operated by a taxi firm is more appropriate. For many of those routes you really don't need much more than a 12-seater minibus.

Anonymous said...

David

If you want to know how wrong you are, please consider this.

You mention bus services to Richmond, Northallerton and Barnard Castle.

The services around all the first two towns were historically largely poor patronised. However, the service networks in pre de-reg days were propped up by cross subsidy. Since then, we've now seen the main routes, viz:

73 Bedale to Northallerton - hourly in 1986, now half hourly

27/28 Darlington - Richmond - Catterick half hourly in 1986 with hourly on Sundays. Now every 15 mins with half hourly on Sundays

75 Darlington - Barnard Castle - hourly in 1986 now half hourly.

Arriva have pulled out of Upper Teesdale but around Northallerton and Richmond, their tendered services were surrendered; they werent commercial